The 2011 protests have been the largest demonstrations seen in Egypt since the 1977 Egyptian Bread Riots and “unprecedented” in scope, drawing participants from a variety of socio-economic backgrounds and faiths.
The revolution can succeed only if people are willing to sacrifice a ton of lives.
There can be three possible outcomes.
1. Failure- the police continue to fight with the protesters to the point where they eventually give up after weeks, and people go back to their daily lives.In this situation, Mubarak returns to his "throne".
2. Compromise- Mubarak is overthrown, but a different leader from the same party comes to power, or another leader from a different party (although still a backed puppet) comes to power. In this situation, the new leader will make some reforms and promise more power to the people, and remain a lesser Mubarak.
3. Successful Revolution- The Muslim Brotherhood comes to power, gets rid of some corruption, vows to make changes for the youth and the Muslim masses, cuts off relations with Israel, and has an Iran type govt, or perhaps a secular nationalist govt., (i.e. Nasserist) but I doubt it, given they want Egypt to become Islamic
The first two scenarios would indicate failure. The last scenario is the only true revolution.
There can be three possible outcomes.
1. Failure- the police continue to fight with the protesters to the point where they eventually give up after weeks, and people go back to their daily lives.In this situation, Mubarak returns to his "throne".
2. Compromise- Mubarak is overthrown, but a different leader from the same party comes to power, or another leader from a different party (although still a backed puppet) comes to power. In this situation, the new leader will make some reforms and promise more power to the people, and remain a lesser Mubarak.
3. Successful Revolution- The Muslim Brotherhood comes to power, gets rid of some corruption, vows to make changes for the youth and the Muslim masses, cuts off relations with Israel, and has an Iran type govt, or perhaps a secular nationalist govt., (i.e. Nasserist) but I doubt it, given they want Egypt to become Islamic
The first two scenarios would indicate failure. The last scenario is the only true revolution.
Posted by Dr Faisal Tehrani at 10:55 PM
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