Netanyahu’s Road to Damascus
by Roy Tov
Tuesday, March 26th, 2013
as he journeyed, he came near Damascus: and suddenly there shined round about him a light from heaven—Acts 9:3
On Friday, March 22, 2013, Israeli Prime Minister
Netanyahu called Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan and apologized for
the Israeli attack on Gaza’s Freedom
Flotilla that caused the deaths of nine Turkish citizens. Afterwards,
Netanyahu’s bureau released a statement. A repentant Netanyahu is such an
impossible thought that it is worth reproducing the core of his declaration:
“The prime minister made it clear that the tragic results regarding the Mavi Marmara were unintentional and that Israel expresses regret over injuries and loss of life,” and “Prime Minister Netanyahu apologized to the Turkish people for any errors that could have led to loss of life and agreed to complete the agreement on compensation.”
Is Netanyahu journeying his Road to Damascus?
Is his apology sincere?
The idea is so ridiculous that even Israel didn’t
attempt to claim that Netanyahu had seen the light and humbly apologizes from
the bottom of his heart. The idea is so ridiculous that Israel formally
disclosed its immediate reason. Netanyahu’s statement repeated President Obama’s
words said on the same day, before leaving Israel. President
Obama revealed that Netanyahu and Erdogan had spoken by telephone; saying in his
statement, “The United States deeply values our close partnerships with both
Turkey and Israel, and we attach great importance to the restoration of positive
relations between them in order to advance regional peace and security.”
Netanyahu’s bureau statement said, “his [Netanyahu's] commitment to working out
the disagreements in order to advance peace and regional stability”. Netanyahu
dropped his old gun-machine and is ready to crash the Road to Damascus with his
shiny, new American tank.
Related to this: U.S. accomplishes takeover of the Eastern Mediterranean Gas Fields
Did you know? Israel’s Attack on Gaza’s Freedom Flotilla
American Script
On March 25, Colonel Riad al-Asaad, formerly head
of the Free Syrian Army (the West-supported forces attacking Syria) lost a leg
after a device exploded next to the car he was using. He is a former Syrian Air
Force commander, who defected to the opposition in July 2011 and set up the Free
Syrian Army a month later in Turkey. He was taken to a hospital in Turkey. The
day before, Moaz al-Khatib resigned as head of the opposition National
Coalition, the political body behind the Free Syrian Army. These dramatic events
exposed one of the reasons for the Americans forcing Netanyahu to apologize. The
second reason was to create security in the Mediterranean Eastern Basin, so that
the USA will be able to profit from the gas there (see U.S. accomplishes takeover of
the Eastern Mediterranean Gas Fields). Now Turkey and Israel are friends
again, the escalating disputes over the gas would be resolved. America will
harvest gas in eternal peace. Eternal? Just a sec, what about Syria?
Syria is neither Libya nor Mali. It is not a
desert country that can be conquered by NATO overnight. Western generals
wouldn’t be able to claim that they have defended the democratic will of the
Syrian people. Two years after the Syrian Civil War started, Assad still runs
the country. The rebels made remarkably little territorial gains; those were
limited mainly to areas next to the Turkish and Iraqi borders. At the beginning
of 2013, several reports on rebels’ violence flooded the media with pictures
that left no room for imagination: they are neither democratic nor Syrian. They
are rapidly losing the population’s support in the areas that they have
conquered, though they are still fighting. The two recent events have weakened
them even more. USA and NATO can’t trust them anymore to complete their Western
masters’ machinations. The USA has utterly disappointed Machiavelli.
Israeli-Turkish Interests
Israel is re-analyzing its former enterprises
with Turkey. In recent years, several issues have changed; the relationship
between the two countries is unlikely to return to what it was. The graph to the
right, courtesy of The Marker, was prepared with data provided by Israel’s
Ministry of Tourism. It shows the sharp drop in the number of Israelis visiting
Turkey (left graph, in thousands) compared to the increase of the total number
of tourists visiting Turkey (right, in millions). Turkey will survive even if
the Israeli tourists do not return. This is a realistic scenario, the prices of
hotels in Turkey have increased, and the country has become less attractive to
Israelis; for example in the weekends of the upcoming Passover holiday, the
offered prices reach almost $500 dollars just for the hotel. When Israelis
started travelling to Turkey, similar deal cost five times less. The majority of
Israeli worker unions (“workers committees;” modern Hebrew is plagued with
Communist terms, see Stalin
Jews box), the largest bulk clients of Turkish vacation deals, announced
that they won’t even consider returning to Turkey. Arkia, an Israeli airline,
has announced that it will re-open its charter line to Turkey, meaning that it
had obtained a permit from the Shin Beth secret police; yet, it may find it has
no clients.
Despite its drama, the American pressure met little
opposition. On February 18, 2013, the Israeli government ended a freeze on advanced
electronic warfare systems for the Turkish Air Force and supplied Turkey with
military equipment for the first time since the Gaza Freedom Flotilla event.
This event is not only a precursor to the apology, but also a reminder that the
relations between the Turkish and Israeli armies were strong before the flotilla
disaster. Can they return to their former status? Back then, Turkey provided
Israel with much needed air space, where the IAF could train, but it has been
replaced by Greece, Bulgaria and Romania. Theoretically, Israel would prefer
Turkey to the European countries, but there is a tiny problem. Turkey and Iran
are now cooperating in intelligence matters; Israel probably wouldn’t take the
risk of unintentional leaks of military data through this option. Military
cooperation between the countries will probably be restricted to the supply of
equipment and multi-party exercises with the USA and NATO. There is a Hebrew
saying “Kavdehu VeHashdehu” (“Honor him and suspect him”), which reflects the
new relation. Turkey won’t be as trusted as before. Considering all these
factors, what was the rush to normalize the situation? After all, it damages
Netanyahu. His main partner, Avigdor Lieberman, has already defined Netanyahu’s
apology “a serious error.” Is Netanyahu a neo-Samson saying “Let me die with the
Turks?”
Netanyahu’s Road to Damascus
Syria is neither Libya nor Mali. The USA failed
to impose an “Arab Spring” on it. This is not surprising; if taking
American-weapons from the IDF, the Syrian Army is much stronger than the IDF.
The 1973 War could have ended differently if only a minor change in the Syrian
Army moves were implemented. Two years after the attack on Syria started, even
planeloads of weapons to the Western-supported mercenaries cannot defeat the
Assad regime (see Israel
Buys Croatian Path to Syrian Rebels. Without a quiet Syria, the USA cannot
easily collect gas commissions from the Eastern Mediterranean. Is Netanyahu’s
apology an indication the “Free Syrian Army” would be scrapped in favor of a
Turkish-Israeli tweezers-attack on Syria?
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