Showing posts with label Newzealand. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Newzealand. Show all posts

Wednesday, 6 November 2019

The RCEP train left the station, and India, behind

The RCEP train left the station, and India, behind
Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi during the 16th ASEAN-India Summit in Nonthaburi, Thailand, on November 3, 2019. Photo: AFP / Anton Raharjo / Anadolu Agency
Biggest story at ASEAN was convergence of moves toward Asia integration, leaving Delhi out for now
A pan-Asia high-speed train has left the station – and India – behind. The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), which would have been the largest free trade deal in the world, was not signed in Bangkok. It will probably be signed next year in Vietnam, assuming New Delhi goes beyond what ASEAN, with diplomatic finesse barely concealing frustration, described as “outstanding issues, which remain unresolved.”
The partnership uniting 16 nations – the ASEAN 10 plus China, Japan, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand and, in theory, India – would have congregated 3.56 billion people and 29% of world trade.
Predictably, it was billed as the big story among the slew of high-profile meetings linked to the 35th ASEAN summit in Thailand, as RCEP de facto further integrates Asian economies with China just as the Trump administration is engaged in a full spectrum battle against everything from the Belt and Road Initiative to Made in China 2025.
It’s not hard to figure out where the “problem” lies.

Mahathir ‘disappointed’

Diplomats confirmed that New Delhi came up with a string of last-minute demands in Thailand, forcing many to work deep into the night with no success. Thailand’s Commerce Minister, Jurin Laksanawisit, tried to put on a brave face: “The negotiation last night was conclusive.”
It was not. Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohammad – whose facial expression in the family photo was priceless, as he shook hands with Aung San Suu Kyi on his left and nobody on his right – had already given away the game. “We’re very disappointed,” he said, adding: “One country is making demands we cannot accept.”
ASEAN, that elaborate monument to punctilious protocol and face-saving, insists the few outstanding issues “will be resolved by February 2020,” with the text of all 20 RCEP chapters complete “pending the resolution of one” member.
RCEP dwells across a large territory, covering trade in goods and services, investment, intellectual property and dispute resolution. The Indian “problem” is extremely complex. India in fact already has a free trade agreement with ASEAN.
New Delhi insists it is defending farmers, dairy owners, the services industry, sectors of the automobile industry – especially hybrid and electric cars, and very popular three-wheelers – and mostly small businesses all across the nation, which would be devastated by an augmented tsunami of Chinese merchandise.
Agriculture, textile, steel and mining interests in India are totally against RCEP.
Yet New Delhi never mentions quality Japanese or South Korean products. It’s all about China. New Delhi argues that signing what is widely interpreted as a free trade agreement with China would explode its already significant US$57 billion a year trade deficit.
The barely disguised secret is that India’s economy, as the historical record shows, is inherently protectionist. There’s no way a possible removal of agricultural tariffs protecting farmers would not provoke a social cataclysm.
Modi, who is not exactly a bold statesman with a global vision, is between a heavy rock and a very hard place. President Xi Jinping offered him a “100-year plan” for China-India partnership at their last informal, bilateral summit.
India is a fellow BRICS member, it’s part of the Russia-India-China troika that is actually at the center of BRICS and is also a member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization.
Questions remain whether both players would be able to work that out before the Vietnam summit in 2020.

Putting it all together

India was only part of the story of the summit fest in Thailand. At the important East Asia Summit, everyone was actively discussing multiple paths towards multilateralism.
The Trump administration is touting what it calls the Free and Open Indo-Pacific Strategy – which is yet another de facto China containment strategy, congregating the US, India, Japan and Australia. Indo-Pacific is very much on Modi’s mind. The problem is “Indo-Pacific,” as the US conceives of it, and RCEP are incompatible.
ASEAN, instead, came up with its own strategy: ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific (AOIP) – which incorporates all the usual transparency, good governance, sustainable development and rules-based tenets plus details on connectivity and maritime disputes.
All the ASEAN 10 are behind AOIP, which is, in fact, an original Indonesian idea. It’s fascinating to know that Bangkok and Jakarta worked together behind closed doors for no fewer than 18 months to reach a full consensus among the ASEAN 10.
South Korea’s Moon Jae-in jumped in extolling the merits of his Southern Policy, which is essentially northeast-southeast Asia integration. And don’t forget Russia.
At the ASEAN business and investment summit, Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev put it all together; the blossoming of the Greater Eurasian Partnership, uniting the Eurasia Economic Union, ASEAN and Shanghai Cooperation Organization, not to mention, in his words, “other possible structures,” which is code for Belt and Road.
Belt and Road is powerfully advancing its links to RCEP, Eurasia Economic Union and even South America’s Mercosur – when Brazil finally kicks Jair Bolsonaro out of power.
Medvedev noted that this merging of interests was unanimously supported at the Russia-ASEAN summit in Sochi in 2016. Vietnam and Singapore have already clinched free trade deals with Eurasia Economic Union, and Cambodia, Thailand, Indonesia are on their way.
Medvedev also noted that a trade and economic cooperation deal between China and Eurasia Economic Union was signed in late October. Next is India, and a preferential trade agreement between the union and Iran has also been signed.
In Thailand, the Chinese delegation did not directly address the United States’ Free and Open Indo-Pacific strategy. But Medvedev did, forcefully: “We are in favor of maintaining the effective system of state-to-state relations which was formed on the basis of ASEAN and has shown a good track record over the years.
“In this regard, we believe the US initiative is a serious challenge for ASEAN countries, since it can weaken the association’s position and strip it of its status as a key player in addressing regional security problems.”
Summits come and go. But what just happened in Thailand will remain as another graphic illustration of myriad, concerted moves leading towards progressive, irreversible Asia – and Eurasia – integration. It’s up to Modi to decide when and if to hop on the train.
Pepe Escobar on Al-Mayadeen

River to Sea Uprooted Palestinian   
The views expressed in this article are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the Blog!

Friday, 5 April 2019

The corporate press is correct that Tarrant and Breivik follow the practices of the anti-Islam xenophobic movement on the rise in Europe, North America and now Oceania, but the key element they deliberately avoid mentioning is their strong collective affinity for the state of Israel.

River to Sea Uprooted Palestinian   
The views expressed in this article are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the Blog!

Thursday, 21 March 2019

NEW ZEALAND MASSACRE: THE HATE THAT AUSTRALIA PRODUCED

A supporter of the anti-Islam group Reclaim Australia wears a scarf displaying the Australian national flag around his face during a rally in central Sydney, Australia, 22 November 2015 (Reuters)



“We stand here and condemn absolutely the attack that occurred today by an extremist, right-wing, violent terrorist,” Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison told a news conference, as his country grapples with the fact that one of its own murdered 50 Muslim worshippers in neighboring New Zealand.
The kind of anti-Muslim views espoused by politicians and pundits are indistinguishable from those disseminated by violent far-right groups
While Morrison should be commended for calling out and identifying exactly who and what the Christchurch mosque mass murderer is – “a right wing, violent terrorist” – Australia’s political leader and his conservative party is responsible for the mainstreaming of the kind of anti-Muslim rhetoric that once existed only in memes found in the far-right blogosphere.
Bear in mind that Morrison, as then opposition immigration spokesman in 2011, urged the shadow cabinet to leverage growing anxieties voters held about “Muslim immigration”, “Muslims in Australia”, and the “inability” of Muslims to integrate into the local culture.

‘A final solution’

Today, Australia’s ecosystem of far-right groups, both online and in the streets, has meshed seamlessly with popular political discourse on the right, with One Nation Senator Pauline Hanson recently comparing Islam to a “disease” that had to be “vaccinated” against.
Another senator, Fraser Anning, suggested Australia must adopt a “final solution” approach to end Muslim immigration, while former Prime Minister Tony Abbott expressed doubts about Islam being a “religion of peace”.
Today, the kind of anti-Muslim views espoused by mainstream politicians and pundits are indistinguishable from those disseminated by violent far-right groups and individuals.
Such a discourse has normalised Islamophobia in a way that makes Brenton Tarrant’s deranged and semi-coherent 74-page manifesto seem run-of-the-mill political discourse.
This is why political parties spend hundreds of millions of dollars each year trying to measure which issues matter most to voters and where voters stand on the issues.
Now, one doesn’t need to have attained a degree in political science to understand that politicians reflect and amplify the views of their constituents in order to amass support and votes. In other words, they don’t say things that won’t be rewarded politically.

Highly Islamophobic

Now, despite the fact 75 percent of Australians acknowledge they know little or nothing about Islam and Muslims, which is not surprising given that Muslims represent only 2 percent of the total population, in Australia one in 10 Australians are “highly Islamophobic” and have a fear or dread of Muslims.
A slew of data bears this out.
Consider that while only 41 percent of Americans support a temporary ban on immigrants from a handful of Muslim majority nation states, a plurality of Australians (49 percent) support a permanent block on Muslims entering the country.


Also, consider that while only 250 of the nation’s roughly 500,000 Muslims wear the niqab, more than 55 percent of Australians support banning it from public places.
If a single poll number could prove that fear and loathing of Muslims has reached hysteria levels, then it would be the one that shows Australians estimating its Muslim population to be nine times higher than it actually is.

How we got here

So, how did Australia get here, or rather how did a country that rightfully and proudly boasts of establishing a thriving multicultural society, with Melbourne and Sydney ranking among the world’s most cosmopolitan cities, produce an individual made so deranged by a pathological hatred of Muslims?
Surprisingly, the answer to that question is actually quite simple: Both the media and Australia’s political entrepreneurs have profited from the anxieties “Islamist” terrorist attacks invoke, and the longstanding fears white Australia has over finding itself in an Asian neighbourhood, by adopting the language of the far-right.

Muslim worshippers pray, during the holy month of Ramadan, in the Gallipoli Mosque located in the Sydney suburb of Auburn, Australia, 10 July 2015 (Reuters)
Muslim worshippers pray, during the holy month of Ramadan, in the Gallipoli Mosque located in the Sydney suburb of Auburn, Australia, 10 July 2015 (Reuters)
Fear of the foreign other is as Australian as backyard cricket and meat pies, a fact underscored by its longstanding “White Australia Policy”, which banned people of non-European origin during the years 1901 to 1966, the year it was fully disbanded.
But it was fear of being overrun by Asian hordes that kept the white racist mind awake at night. In the 19th century, it was the concern that Chinese immigrants were taking all the jobs and gold. In the next it was the understandable fear of a rampaging imperialist Japan, which preceded anxieties about being overrun by refugees and asylum seekers in the late 1990s.
The pivotal year in terms of how Australians have come to fear Muslims, however, was the year 2001, and I’m not referring to the September 11 attacks on New York City and Washington DC, but rather the national election held that year.

A last hail Mary play

In the run up to the polls, the then conservative coalition was staring at a heavy electoral defeat, and thus desperately needed a last-second Hail Mary play to salvage victory from the jaws of humiliation.
In August of that year, its prayers were answered when a refugee boat named Tampa, built to hold no more than 40 passengers, entered Australian waters carrying 433 Afghan asylum seekers, including 46 children, who were fleeing the brutality of the Taliban regime in Afghanistan.
From here, the Howard government began putting in play the instruments for a manufactured immigration crisis, putting the fear of Muslim asylum seekers at the centre of his reelection bid, with the prime minister declaring his campaign slogan: “We will decide who comes here and the circumstances in which they come.”
Less than two weeks after the refugees aboard Tampa had begun to dominate the news cycle, four hijacked US passenger jets slammed into the World Trade Center, the Pentagon, and a field in Pennsylvania, with Taliban hosted al-Qaeda declaring responsibility for what remains the largest terrorist attack in history.
Suddenly, Howard had a path to reelection on the literal backs of 433 Afghan asylum seekers, and without concern for their well-being and in defiance of international law, the government played on the fear voters suddenly had about Islam and Muslims, even going so far as falsely claiming that mothers and fathers threw their children overboard as a ploy to secure rescue and passage to shore.
Such rhetoric, no doubt, reinforced Islamophobic tropes about Muslims being “uncivilized and barbaric”, helping the Howard government eek out a narrow electoral victory on 10 November 2001.

Race baiting and fear

Howard’s successful campaign of race baiting and fear would change Australian politics forever, putting immigration at the centre of political debate for the subsequent two decades.
Undoubtedly, this was helped along by the anxiety instilled in the public by the al-Qaeda terrorist attacks in Bali, Indonesia, on 12 October, 2002, which killed 88 Australians at a popular Kuta nightclub.
Newspapers in Australia owned by Rupert Murdoch generated 2,891 media stories trashing Muslims in a single 12-month period, equal to eight negative headlines per day
When al-Qaeda affiliate Jemaah Islamiyah bombed the Australian embassy in Jakarta in 2004, which was followed by second attack on Bali in 2005, one that myself and several of my close friends were unfortunate enough to bear witness to, the words “Muslim” and “terrorist” became both synonymous and interchangeable in the Australian media.
For now, overt anti-Muslim animus remained still largely invisible, holding a place mostly within online chat rooms and blogs, but then came the proliferation of social media, with Facebook and Twitter taking off in the years 2007-08, coinciding with the ubiquity of the smartphone.

The ‘Muslim tide’ conspiracy

These new technologies suddenly gave Muslim-hating, far right, ultra-nationalist groups the ability to reach, connect, and influence a far greater audience than a million newsletters and blog articles ever could.

People visit at a memorial site for victims of Friday's shooting, in front of the Masjid Al Noor mosque in Christchurch, New Zealand on 18 March (Reuters)
People visit at a memorial site for victims of Friday’s shooting, in front of the Masjid Al Noor mosque in Christchurch, New Zealand on 18 March (Reuters)
It allowed them to place their anti-Muslim and anti-Islam memes in the timelines of those who might not ordinarily have ever come to be exposed to conspiracies that accuse 1.6 billion Muslims of secretly plotting to overthrow democratic governments and replace them with Islamic State-like governance, or developing a scheme to overrun the West with Muslim-born babies, otherwise known as the “Muslim tide” conspiracy.
These entirely erroneous conspiracies are not only widely disseminated in the Australian social media landscape by accounts belonging to far-right groups such as Reclaim Australia, Australian Defense League, Rise Up Australia, United Patriots Front, Australian Liberty Alliance, Nationalist Alternative among others, but also in the mainstream media by politicians and pundits alike, and were referenced by the Christchurch terrorist on his blog and manifesto.
It’s pertinent to point out, however, that whereas the presence of the far right is felt and seen in street marches throughout Europe, the UK, and US, these groups remain largely confined to an online presence in Australia, at least for now.

Biggest domestic threat

It’s also worth noting here that prior to 9/11, ASIO, the country’s leading intelligence agency, deemed right-wing extremists to be the biggest domestic terrorism threat. It’s a threat that has always been here, continues to grow, and remains largely ignored.
The threat grows because the mainstream media continues to harmonise far-right, anti-Muslim animus in public discourse, noting how a recent study found that right-leaning newspapers in Australia, specifically those owned by Rupert Murdoch, generated 2,891 media stories trashing Islam and Muslims in a single 12-month period, equating to eight negative headlines per day, everyday, for an entire year.
When online portrayals of Muslims as “invaders” synchronise with newspaper headlines that also dehumanise and debase them, conflating the religion with terrorism, you get someone like Brenton Tarrant, and 50 dead Muslim worshippers at a mosque in neighbouring New Zealand.
Top Photo: A supporter of the anti-Islam group Reclaim Australia wears a scarf displaying the Australian national flag around his face during a rally in central Sydney, Australia, 22 November 2015 (Reuters)


River to Sea Uprooted Palestinian   
The views expressed in this article are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the Blog!