Uprooted Palestinians are at the heart of the conflict in the M.E Palestinians uprooted by force of arms. Yet faced immense difficulties have survived, kept alive their history and culture, passed keys of family homes in occupied Palestine from one generation to the next.
Bloomberg published a stunning piece on April 9th promoting the secession of California from the U.S., in an op-ed by Francis Wilkinson titled Gavin Newsom Declares California a ‘Nation-State’, which resurrected John C. Calhoun in a neo-confederate argument favoring nullification.
Bloomberg is part a strategy to prevent Trump from a second term by way of legal means (election), and has now brought to the fore the spectre of secession or nullification. This does not mean we should normally expect some announcement by Governor Newsom that ‘The California Republic is an independent nation-state ’. Yet amazingly, it has been almost verbatim said in this way.
The Bloomberg article details how California Governor Newsom has begun using that term and also related legal constructions in discussing how California will manage the coronavirus response on its own.
Imagine an alternate timeline where Trump denied there was a significant threat posed by the coronavirus and adjusted policy to reflect that. After all, the mortality rate appeared very low compared to the infection rate. Then imagine that governors Cuomo and Newsom behaved similarly to how we’ve seen them perform over the past month or so. In fact, their behavior makes even more sense in our hypothetical, alternate reality. But imagine if their punches could land because there was some semblance of a reality that could support the barrage.
In the Event 201 exercise which appears to have been made public on YouTube, the situation of Arab Springs being a result of political blow-back from coronavirus measures, is discussed briefly using the precise phrase ‘Arab Spring’. Dealing with destabilization and messaging in that context, consumes most of the last several stages of the simulation conducted in October 2019.
Those already familiar with the Arab Spring phenomenon as intentionally created ‘Color Revolutions’, will understand the connection between what appear as ‘bottom-up’ or grass-roots activism being coordinated covertly with dual-power structures within a country which is being targeted for regime-change. Given that the original Arab Spring was not only a Color Revolution, but used the ‘too-big-to-fail’ bailout money in 2008 to corner a market on perishable goods – prices affecting targeted countries were jacked-up, causing bread-riots and public protests. Regime-change was rarely a demand of protests, rather these related to the price of food. Foreign media like CNN and Al-Jazeera appeared to put words in the mouths of protestors and talked of revolution.
The take-away point here is that the ‘original’ Arab Spring was a concocted development, and so references to these in what many see in Event 201 as a descriptor of allegedly ‘concocted’ events now underway, as Mike Pompeo quipped is a ‘live exercise’, are quite apt. Because these are not simply matters of what we might read into the Event 201 proceedings, but how those involved in the event understood themselves and each other.
Having seen the repeated attempts to nullify the outcome of the 2016 election raises serious questions about the scope of the aims of the current presidency. The current president seems to provoke a highly unusual, extra-partisan and extra-political conflict that occurs no more than two or three times in a century, where it seems that sacrosanct geopolitical allegiances and long-reaching security policies risk being overturned. In our alternate time-line, we may see California moving further on the secession road and Joe Biden ‘talking sense and unity’ to California ‘President’ Newsom.
Bloomberg Hails Calhoun’s Nullification Argument
Here are some of the key fragments from the article which are particularly revealing:
<<The implications for the brewing civil war … .>>
<<…California “as a nation-state”>>
<<“Nation-state.” “Export”.>>
<<At some point this civil war by other means >>
<<Federalism has always had rough spots, but conflict is rising and resolutions are not>>
<<From Fort Sumter […], the blueprint for states opposing federal control has a recurring theme.>>
<<John C. Calhoun, who used the theory of states’ rights to defend the institution of slavery, […] Calhoun’s theory of nullification, which posited that states have the power to defy federal law, could be ripe for a comeback on the left coast. With the heirs of the Confederacy now reigning in Washington, turnabout might be very fair play.>>
We could also point to either the daily coronavirus press conferences headed by New York Governor Cuomo which have been broadcast nationally – positioning Cuomo as a sort of ‘anti-Trump’ or ‘alternate president’ – or we could point to the Atlantic’s fair treatment of the Texas secession movement in December of 2019. That piece deserves our attention, because it pins both the Texas and California secession movements as having had some Russian attention. The leader of the Texas movement makes an apology for having gone to Russia and attended a conference relating to Texas secession.
That part is critical in terms of a broader strategy being used now against the American president. This is one where ostensibly foreign tactics used in fourth-generation warfare (4GW) to destabilize power in the U.S., or alternatively, 4GW tactics used by the U.S. to destabilize a foreign power – can be used also by a power-structure from within the U.S. to destabilize a particular and opposing other vector in the same country – in this case, the presidency.
In a piece I authored at the Ron Paul Institute for Peace when such a tactic was tried and failed in Armenia, in what was called the ‘Electric Yerevan’, we explain how 4GW uses thousands of years-old hybrid warfare tactics combined with Baudrillardian hyper-reality simulation, and Freudian psychoanalysis to manipulate mass psychology. These are adapted to Gene Sharp and his student Srdjan Popovic’s developments on some of the ideas of Saul Alinksy on Color Revolution. With a federal government unresponsive to a public which is increasingly panicked over life and death questions, such as for example Covid-19, then a combination of conscious and subconscious themes are visible, leading towards destabilization and, in this case, secession.
But how could such a potentially foreign-backed project like California (or Texas) seceding from the United States operate under the radar screen of the NSA?
In short: insulating a country from foreign destabilization campaigns would reasonably involve taking over leadership of those campaigns. This means that intelligence would involve more than observation and intel gathering, but would also involve leading the organization – assumedly to frustration. But such an endeavor would equally well serve as a cover for actually operating the secession campaign towards success, if the aim was for the operating power-structure to leverage it against an opposing other vector such as the Trump presidency.
This is how the U.S. intel was able to explain-away organizing, recruiting, and administering aspects of the Al Qaeda/ISIS project when journalists or intel officers without a need to know, would encounter evidence that this was indeed occurring.
What we can understand from this Bloomberg piece in the broader context to be discussed in brief, is that this secessionist article is a fragment or artifact of another possible reality that appears to have been planned.
Trump’s Counter-Strategy
Trump showed signs as late as the end of February that he would continue to deny the reality of Covid-19 by calling some aspect of the public hype around it a DNC hoax, as we already h ad. In so doing, his political line was apparently predicted by the Deep State actors whom we may call team nullification. It seemed that Prime Minister Johnson’s ‘herd immunity’ approach and Brazil’s Bolsonaro’s ‘hands-off’ attitude would soon be mirrored by Russia. Given that Russia now has just 47,000 cases and just three-hundred and sixty related deaths, and this is following a variation of the ‘internationally accepted’, symptoms-only method of determining Covid-19 (without an anti-bodies test), it would have made sense back then that Russia would down-play coronavirus following more realistic projections, if it would have the adverse effect of compounding economic woes and create problems for Putin.
Just as the tanking of the economy would work against Trump, the coronavirus pandemic appeared a ‘lose-lose’ scenario for him provided that the public had a restored confidence in mainstream media reporting, stemming from its handling of the epidemic, which could be weaponized against Trump. In other words, Americans would listen to the media and what the WHO said, as orchestrated by team nullification, and lay serious blame on the ‘science-denying right-wing’ of Trump, Bolsonaro, Johnson, and Putin.
That’s why the pre-coronavirus attacks on Trump as a ‘science-denier’ had much farther reaching designs than simply a manufactured public debate with Greta Thunberg over global warming. Remember that in the film Contagion it is deforestation that causes a bat to take residence at a pig-farm, where the novel coronavirus is born.
What happened as things played out? Bolsonaro stayed with his version, and was ultimately removed from actual power by the military. This serves as a critical reminder by itself of what our ‘alternate timeline’ may have had in store for Trump, if we consider the ramifications of California making bolder moves to secede. Boris Johnson apparently became so ill that he ‘saw the light’ and changed UK policy towards a strict quarantine.
Putin, however, never went for the predicted script and instead used the very low numbers relating to covid-19 to nevertheless issue a quarantine. This was a policy that somehow dovetailed with Trump’s, and was interestingly reinforced in the aftermath of their widely discussed phone call.
History as told through FOIA may someday reveal what team nullification, pairing up with never-Trumper Bill Gates, may have tried to pull off. It really brings us back to Pompeo’s statement. More to the point what he knew – when he knew it was a live exercise, and under what conditions it was discovered, planned, or allowed to play out – and to what degree. ‘Deep State’ Department Mike is an interesting being who can appear to act as a diplomat and consensus builder on policy between the Deep State and Trump.
Trump bucked the probable response model that team nullification planned around. Instead he was very available to the needs of New York and California, and he approached his media strategy with three precise attacks.
One, he made a commercial showing various state leaders including Cuomo and Newsom thanking the president for his availability and the scope of his response. This is shown in contrast with recent attacks disputing that the president has the authority to ‘open the country’.
Two, he made a press-conference video showing how it was the WHO themselves who initially down-played the threat. This particular part shines in brilliance because leading up to and after Easter weekend, the vast majority of Trump supporters are what the mainstream media will no doubt soon be calling ‘covid-deniers’. This seemed to be leading up to some big announcement right after Easter from Trump that Covid-19 was a hoax, and attack WHO and defund it. But instead he was able to justify defunding WHO and bucking their predictive model, by showing how they underestimated the impact of the novel coronavirus.
Tell the Democrat Governors that “Mutiny On The Bounty” was one of my all time favorite movies. A good old fashioned mutiny every now and then is an exciting and invigorating thing to watch, especially when the mutineers need so much from the Captain. Too easy!162KTwitter Ads info and privacy110K people are talking about this
None of these three moves happened randomly the week after Easter, but rather were aimed at countering moves on team nullification and on the part of Newsom and Cuomo, to declare that the president did not have authority over the states. This all happened immediately during the week of April 13th, and so the timing of the April 9th Bloomberg piece preparing the public for pro-secessionist talking points, was not random. Almost nothing is random.
While we enter May with an in-tact government, future transpiring events will no doubt become ‘interestinger and interestinger’ as we venture further down the rabbit hole.
لم يكن مفاجئاً لنا ما جرى في جلسة مجلس النواب التي عُقدت في قصر اليونيسكو من تصرّفات أكدت ما نصف به النظام السياسي اللبناني، ولكن ما جرى قد يكون فاجأ البعض من حسني النية الذين ظنّوا أنّ حراك 17 تشرين الأول 2019 قد يكون فرض على الطبقة السياسية في لبنان تغييراً في السلوك ليس من أجل لبنان وشعبه بل من أجل استمرار سلطتها هي، لكن هذا الظنّ سقط في دائرة الخيبة السحيقة التي تؤلم بمقدار ما كان الأمل منعقداً على التغيير.
لقد نجح مجلس النواب في لبنان في جلسته الأخيرة في تأكيد السلطة والقوة لدولة الفساد العميقة التي تمسك بها طبقة سياسية متجذرة في ثنايا الدولة وخلاياها، طبقة فساد تضع يدها على كلّ شيء وتتحصّن بالطائفية والمناطقية والإقطاعية وتستغلّ جهل وعمى وعصبية الأتباع الذين يدافعون عن جلادهم وينسون آلامهم التي أحدثها هذا الجلاد، وطبعاً يتجاهلون آمالهم التي بخرتها نيران سلطة الجلاد ذاته.
لقد ظنّ البعض انّ تشكيل الحكومة الحالية التي خرج منها أو ابتعد او أبعد عنها جزء كبير من الطبقة السياسية الممتهنة للفساد والمستثمرة به، ظنّ هذا البعض انّ حراك 17 تشرين الأول الذي فرض هذه الحكومة سيتابع اندفاعته ويطيح بتلك الطبقة، لكن الظنّ كان في غير محله، وتبيّن أنّ ما حصل ليس أكثر من انحناءة بسيطة أقدمت عليها الطبقة السياسية لتمرّ العاصفة ولتعود فتشرئبّ بأعناقها بأقوى مما كانت عليه، وجاءت جلسة مجلس النواب بالأمس لتؤكد هذا الأمر، جلسة أرسلت رسائل لكلّ مراقب ومتابع أن لا تغيير في لبنان بل استمرار دولة الفساد العميقة بكلّ أركانها وأساليبها حيث بدا بكلّ وضوح:
1
ـ التناقض الكلي بين الطبقة السياسية المنشئة لدولة الفساد العميقة في لبنان، والحكومة التي جاءت ثمرة مباشرة للحراك الشعبي، حكومة ظهرت مستفردة إلا من قلة من المناصرين، وتأكد انّ هذه الطبقة غير جاهزة للتغيير او التصحيح، فهي تتصارع علانية وتتفق سراً على مصّ دم الشعب ونهب ثرواته وأنها ترفض أيّ مساءلة او محاسبة. تقوم بذلك متكئة على طائفيتها وقدرتها على التجييش الطائفي والحزبي والمناطقي الذي ينشئ حولها أحزمة أمان تمنع أيّ مسّ بها، ولم يكن صدفة أن يتلاقى المتخاصمون عبر الإعلام على تشكيل أكثرية في مجلس النواب تمنع إقرار قانون ملاحقة الوزراء أمام القضاء العدلي، فهؤلاء يريدون الاستمرار بالسرقة والنهب رغم ما آل إليه وضع الدولة، فهم مطمئنون إلى أموالهم في الخارج فإذا سقطت الدولة تسقط على رؤوس الفقراء أما هم فبمنأى عن أيّ ضرر.
2
ـ إصرار من قبل الطبقة السياسية الفاسدة على العمل بسياسة “جوّع كلبك يتبعك”. فهذه الطبقة تعلم انّ قيام الدولة العادلة التي تؤدّي إلى كلّ ذي حق حقه يعني إغلاق محميات نفوذ زعماء الطوائف وتهميش دورهم والانفتاح على فكرة الاستغناء عنهم، أما ربط المصلحة والإعانة والإعاشة بالزعيم، فهذا من شأنه أن يقوّيه ويمكّنه من الإمساك أكثر برقبة المحتاج، ولم يكن صدفة أن يمتنع مجلس نواب طبقة الفساد السياسي عن إقرار خطة التحفيز الاقتصادي والاجتماعي وإعانة الفقير التي تقدّمت بها الحكومة على عجل معتقدة أنّ اشتداد الحاجة والخطر يجيز لها تخطي بعض الشكليات الإدارية، لكن ظنّها سقط أمام سطوة وقدرة الطبقة السياسية التي أطاحت بسعي الحكومة لدعم الفقراء.
3
ـ رفض أيّ نوع جدّي او فعلي من أنواع المحاسبة للسياسيين، ما يعني الإصرار على سياسة النهب والمحاصصة. لقد تبيّن بكلّ وضوح انّ كلّ المواقف السياسية العلنية التي تدعو إلى محاربة الفساد واستعادة المال المنهوب ومعالجة مالية الدولة بما يعيد إليها الحياة، تبيّن أنّ معظم القائلين بهذا يصحّ عليهم وصف الآية الكريمة “كبر مقتا عند الله ان تقولوا ما لا تفعلون”، نعم معظمهم يقول شيئاً ويفعل عكسه إذ لو كانوا صادقين لسارعوا الى إقرار مشاريع أو اقتراحات القوانين المتصلة بمحاربة الفساد واستعادة الأموال المنهوبة ولأرسلوا رسالة واضحة لمن هم في الوظيفة العامة والسلطة انّ زمن المحاسبة بدأ وانّ عليهم ان يتوقفوا عن النهب وأن يعيدوا المال المنهوب، لكنهم لم يفعلوا لأنهم مصرّون على النهب متشبّثين بكلّ سلوكيات الفساد.
4
ـ أما الفضيحة الأخرى فقد كانت في الموقف من قانون العفو العام، حيث غابت عند كثير من شرائح الطبقة السياسية مفاهيم الواقعية والعدالة والأمن الاجتماعي والسلامة العامة، لتتحكم بهم نزاعات الطائفية والمحسوبية، مفاهيم تهدم الوطن ولا تسمح ببنائه او التقدّم على طريق البناء. فجميعهم يعرف أنّ جزءاً من نزلاء السجون أمضى في سجنه أكثر من المدة التي يحتمل الحكم عليه بحبسه بها، وكذلك يعلمون انّ عدد الأشخاص الصادرة بحقهم مذكرات توقيف او جلب او إحضار يتجاوز عددهم 4 أضعاف قدرة السجون على الاستيعاب، وهي سجون تحتوي الآن اكثر من ضعفي طاقاتها، أضف إلى ذلك مسألة مخاطر الكورونا. رغم كلّ هذا تجد هؤلاء غير معنيين بكلّ تلك المخاطر، ويصرّون على السلوك الطائفي والنظرة اللاواقعية ما عطل إقرار قانون عفو عام.
هذا غيض من فيض ما اتضح في جلسة اليونيسكو النيابية، وكله فيه المرارة والألم ويستدعي السؤال هل من حلّ؟
قد يقول قائل إنّ الحلّ يكون بالإطاحة بهذه الطبقة السياسية عبر انتخابات مبكرة، وهنا نسارع إلى القول وهل من عاقل يظنّ انّ انتخابات تجري على أساس القانون المشوّه الحالي، هل يظنّ أنّ الانتخابات ستغيّر شيئاً؟ فالانتخابات إذا حصلت الآن ستعيد أكثر من 90% من النواب الحاليين مسلحين بشرعية شعبية جديدة كان الحراك الشعبي زعم أنه نزع عنها الشرعية.
أما نحن فإننا نرى ان لا حلّ مطلقاً مع النظام الطائفي الحالي مهما كانت الصيغ لتجميله، فمع الطائفية البغيضة سيبقى نظام المحاصصة والزبائنية وسيستمرّ استبعاد الأكفاء وسيستمر النهب باسم الطائفة، لذلك لن يكون حلّ إلا بدولة مدنية تخرج لبنان من نظام أمراء الطوائف وعتاة الإقطاع السياسي، ولكن السؤال الأهمّ كيف تقام هذه الدولة في ظلّ الاستشراء الطائفي والانهيار القائم؟ هنا نقول هل يكون المؤتمر الوطني التأسيسي الواسع هو المخرج؟ أعتقد…
وحتى يكون ذلك نرى انّ التمسك الآن بحكومة حسان دياب هو المسلك المتاح، ولذلك على هذه الحكومة ان تمضي قدماً دون ان تتوقف عند عرقلة من هنا او تهديد من هناك. فهذه الحكومة فرصة للبنان للتخفيف من بعض مآسيه حتى يقيّض له من يخرجه منها. ولتحاول أن تأتي بقانون انتخاب يخفف من غلواء الطائفية وتكون الانتخابات على أساسه مدخلاً إلى الدولة المدنية غير الطائفية التي نحلم بها.
From the very beginning I’ve been a staunch critic of President Trump’s “Energy Dominance” policy. And I was so for a myriad of reasons, but mostly because it was stupid.
Not just stupid, monumentally stupid. Breathtakingly stupid.
And I don’t say this as someone who hates Trump without reservation. In fact, I continue to hope he will wake up one day and stop being the Donald Trump I know and be the Donald Trump he needs to be.
I don’t have Trump Derangement Syndrome of any sort. Neither MAGApede nor Q-Tard, an Orange Man Bad cultist or NPC Soy Boy, I see Trump for what he is – a well-intentioned, if miseducated man with severe personal deficiencies which manifest themselves in occasionally brilliant but mostly disastrous behavior.
Energy Dominance was always a misguided and Quixotic endeavor. Why? Because Trump could never turn financial engineering a shale boom into a sustainable advantage over lower-cost producers like Russia and the OPEC nations.
The policy of blasting open the U.S. oil spigots to produce a production boom built on an endless supply of near-zero cost credit was always going to run into a wall of oversupply and not enough demand.
The dramatic collapse of U.S. oil prices in the futures markets which saw the May contract close on April 20th at $-40.57 per barrel is the Shale Miracle hitting the fan of low demand and leaving the producers and consumers in a state which can only happen thanks to biblical levels of government intervention.
We will never let the great U.S. Oil & Gas Industry down. I have instructed the Secretary of Energy and Secretary of the Treasury to formulate a plan which will make funds available so that these very important companies and jobs will be secured long into the future!163KTwitter Ads info and privacy56.6K people are talking about this
It’s clear from this statement that Trump is ready to throw more trillions at the oil industry to keep it and the millions of jobs from disappearing as he does what he always does when confronted with a real problem, doubles down on the behavior that caused it in the first place.
Politicians, even the best ones, are ultimately vandals. They have no other tool than to reallocate scarce capital towards their ends rather than that demanded by the market.
And the main reason why Trump was never going to win the Energy Dominance War he started was because the world doesn’t want the type and kind of oil the U.S. produces at the quantities needed to “Win!”
Ultra-light sweet crude coming from the Bakken, Eagle Ford and Permian simply isn’t that high in demand for export. It’s of limited usage. And, in the end, if the price is right enough, offering oil for sale in ‘not-dollars’ only makes that demand curve even more elastic.
The collapse in oil prices which Trump is desperate to stop won’t simply because Trump stands there like King Canute, arms outstretched. He and his terrible energy policy stand naked now that the tide has gone out.
And the reason for this is simple. There is more to the world economy than money. Money is what makes the economy work but it, in and of itself, is incapable of creating wealth. All money does is act as a means to express our needs and desires at the moment of the trade.
Trump’s vandalizing the world’s energy markets for the past three and a half years now comes back to bite him. To prop up surging U.S. production he has:
Supported a disastrous war against the people of Yemen
Repurposed U.S. troops clinging to positions in Syria while stealing their oil
Nearly started a shooting war with Iran…. Twice.
Embargoed Venezuela, stole its money, attempted a failed coup and brought even more support to President Maduro from Russia and China.
Spent billions pointing missiles at Russia via NATO.
Supported a vicious war to prevent the secession of the Donbass.
Delayed the construction of Nordstream 2.
Sowed chaos enough to set Turkey to claiming the Eastern Mediterranean while fighting a losing war in Libya.
Started a massive trade war with China.
Spent trillions throwing the U.S. budget deficit for 2020 out beyond 20% of the U.S.’s 2019 GDP.
I could go on, but I think you get the point. None of these acts are defensible as anything other than immoral and counterproductive.
Having antagonized literally more than three-quarters of the world with this insanity, Trump will now turn his destructive gaze on the very people he purports to serve, the American people. Saving jobs through subsidies is capital destructive. It doesn’t matter who does it, Trump, Putin, Xi or FDR.
If Trump tariffs on imports it will only keep the cost of energy for Americans higher than it should be at a time when they need it to be as cheap as possible.
The incentive to improve performance by these companies, shutter expensive wells, default on debt or shift capital away from the unproductive will not happen. The healthy cleansing of bankruptcy is averted. The vultures who profited on the way up will not go bankrupt because the bust is avoided and those that were prudent waiting for this moment will not be rewarded with the reins of the means of production.
And again, we see another one-way trade for Wall St.
All Trump will do here is entrench the very powers that he thinks he’s been fighting, destroying small businesses, nationalizing, in effect, whole swaths of the U.S. economy and setting up the day when everyone else around the world shrugs when he bark.
Because the net effect has been to see the rise in more of the oil trade conducted in currencies other than the U.S. dollar. That trend will continue in a deflating price environment where the need to service dollar-denominated debt is soaking up the supply of dollars faster than the Fed can monetize the debt issued by the U.S. Treasury.
The oil trade will shift from dollars. Dollars will be used to pay off debt, the world will decouple from the dollar and all those dollars currently hoarded overseas and whose demand today will be supply tomorrow will ensure the U.S. economy suffers the worst kind of depression, one of rising commodity prices, falling asset prices and falling wages.
So, Trump will continue to be, as I put it recently, The Master of the Seen, choosing, as always, to ignore the unseen effects of propping up firms that should rightly go the way of all bad ideas, like Marxism.
The U.S. had a grenade dropped on its budget. It looks like a nuclear bomb, but that’s only because of the continued arrogance and necessity of politicians, like Trump, needing to be ‘seen’ doing something caused far more damage than it would have if they hadn’t intervened in the first place.
The adage, “never let a crisis go to waste,” is apropos here. Politicians use the cover of crisis to act. They have to be ‘seen’ acting rather than not. Trump is acutely aware of this because he truly can’t stand criticism.
A man without principles, Trump acts mostly out of his need to deflect criticism and be ‘seen’ by his base as their champion.
But no, Trump outs himself as the biggest Marxist of all time, defending the workers while robbing them of their future through the destruction of their real wealth. His policy mistakes become our real problems. And he compounded those problems by listening to the medical complex vultures about COVID-19 and now he’s trapped but everyone else will pay the price.
He is someone without the sense or the understanding that sometimes the best thing to do is admit defeat, reverse course and put down the scepter of power. But Trump doesn’t know how to do that. He doesn’t know how to actually lead.
Energy Dominance will turn into an Energy Albatross and it will weigh on Trump’s neck in his second term that will see him leave office reviled as the great destroyer of not only the U.S.’s wealth, but more importantly, its standing in the world.
In response to the COVID-19 pandemic across the world, governments introduced quarantine regimes and closed down crowded public places in a bid to reduce the fatalities.
Meanwhile, prisoners as a spectrum of citizens are at risk as they are kept in confined prison conditions. In prisons, where there is no way the social distancing can be implemented properly and in accordance with the guidelines of the World Health Organization, people are more than in any other place at risk as the special conditions increase their vulnerability to the coronavirus.
These threats to the prisoners’ health motivated the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights to urge the governments to release them.
Although large number of prisoners in many countries were freed to reduce the pandemic fatalities, the Al Khalifa regime in Bahrain refused to take similar steps to the frustration of the rights groups and the families of the prisoners. The tiny Arab kingdom has so far confirmed 1,895 people tested positive for COVID-19 pandemic, as it said that 7 died of the disease.
Legal organizations and prominent political figures write a protest letter
The Bahraini regime’s failure to show commitment to the principles of human rights and show responsibility to the demands of the UN human rights commission to protect the prisoners aroused the ire of the political figures, NGOs, and rights organizations towards Manama’s repressive and stubborn approach.
On Sunday, 67 rights and legal organizations in a joint statement asked Bahrain’s officials to affirmatively respond to the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights and immediately free political prisoners. The statement said that the Bahraini government should put the release of the political prisoners as part of its agenda to fight the coronavirus as the prisons are among the places of high risk for those inside. In the densely populated detention centers it is difficult to meet the standards of the WHO that are designed to check the pandemic. Official reports suggest that prisons in Bahrain has the challenge of congestion.
In their statement, the rights organizations referred to the Bahraini security officials’ deprivation of the prisoners of treatment as a torture trick. The consequence of this action is the downfall of the levels of healthcare in the prisons to the lowest level. They warned that such a situation could result in a disaster.
Lynn Maalouf, the Amnesty International’s Middle Ease Research director, said: “Authorities must now speedily release those who never should have been in jail in the first place, namely all prisoners of conscience who remain detained solely for peacefully exercising their right to freedom of expression and other human rights.”
Sheikh Ali Salman, the Secretary-General of Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society as well as rights activists Nazar al-Wadee, Nabil Rajab, and Naji Fatil are among the political prisoners whom the Amnesty International called for their immediate and unconditional release from prison.
Ahmad al-Wadee, the director of London-based Bahrain Center for Human Rights, is among those who over the past few days warned against the situation of the prisoners in Bahrain. He said: “coronavirus spreads in Bahrain’s overcrowded prisons would have disastrous consequences.
On April 14, Ayatollah Sheikh Isa Qassem, the spiritual leader of the Bahrain’s uprising, in a statement warned that the potential spread of the virus in the prisons rings the alerts for the lives of thousands of political prisoners. He called for an initiative to release this category of prisoners. “There is no excuse to keep these people in prison,” he asserted.
Hussain al-Daihi, the deputy secretary-general of Al-Wefaq, echoed Ayatollah Qassem’s statement, saying that the prisoners must be released for their lives to be saved as many governments in other countries did. Social media users inside and outside the small Gulf island kingdom launched a campaign calling for the political prisoners to be released.
Bad prison conditions and doubled challenges for security prisoners
The concerns about possible exploitation of the coronavirus crisis by Al Khalifa regime to build pressures on the political prisoners and protestors in the upcoming weeks and months and even intentional abandoning of healthcare and concealing the reality about the situation of prisons come while the hygiene and security conditions in the detention centers are already improper. Before the outbreak of COVID-19, there were reports about the outbreak of contagious diseases in the prisons. Jaw Prison as the biggest prison in the country and Dry Dock [Al-Hawdh al-Jaf] detention center from December through January witnessed the outbreak of Scabies infectious disease. About half of the prisoners of the two prisons were infected, reports said.
Over the past few days, some prisoners tried to leak part of the realities of the prison conditions to the outside world and media. Abdullah Habib Sawar, Reuters reported, is one of these prisoners who is behind the bars of a cell along with 14 inmates.
He told Reuters that congestion of political prisoners’ cells invites for worries about coronavirus spread. “All are afraid,” he further told the news agency.
According to the report, the political prisoners in Jaw Prison are held in cells that can accommodate only 8 people and are special for security prisoners. The report further said that Bahrain like other regional countries freed the risked prisoners. But security prisoners were not among the freed 1,500.
Despite pressures from the rights organizations, the Western governments that claim to be patrons to human rights kept silent regarding violation of rights of Bahraini political prisoners. On Tuesday, Trump had a phone conversation with King Hamad bi Isa Al Khalifa in which he lauded Manama’s measures to control the pandemic but did not raise the case of political prisoners. This promotes the notion that Bahrain’s regime continues to shrug off the criticism on the strength of political support from the West.
Since there is a lot of excellent content out there on Covid-19, I won’t attempt to replicate it myself, but will instead share what I’ve found to be informative and imperative information.
I know that the issue is divisive, however, I offer these links with no agenda other than concern for all of our futures, and find it beyond surreal that some refuse point-blank to consider narratives than those offered by our benevolent governments and world bodies…
Variety of links at my Patreon post (set to public), because formatting here is a pain in the ass.
*Note: Anthony Fauci, one of the world’s leading experts on infectious diseases, and director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), and one of the most trusted medical figures on Covid19, was one of the main voices behind the notion that COVID-19 is is considerably more dangerous than the flu. On March 11, 2020, he stated: “The flu has a mortality rate of 0.1 percent. This has a mortality rate of 10 times that.”
Yet, a paper he co-authored a couple weeks later (March 26) states:
“If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) …”
So here is leading infectious disease expert retracting from his initial alarmist statement and saying what many other experts not given major platforms are saying.
Referring to the Islamic Revolution Guard Corps [IRGC’s] airstrikes on the US occupation airbase of Ain al-Assad in western Iraq, IRGC Aerospace Force Commander Brigadier General Amir Ali Hajizadeh said, “If the US responded to our attack on Ain al-Assad, we would be ready to attack 400 American targets.”
Referring to the reactions of US officials to the launch of Iran’s first military satellite into space, Hajizadeh said, “By assassinating Lt. Gen. Soleimani, they wanted to show that they killed a symbol of Resistance, and they were sure that Iran would not respond to their attack.”
“But then they felt somewhat threatened, so they announced that Washington would target 52 cites, including cultural ones, in case Iran targeted US forces,” he added, saying, “But we responded to them by an attack on Ain al-Assad base in Iraq.”
“The day we attacked on Ain al-Assad, we thought the US forces would respond after 20 minutes, so we were ready to attack 400 American targets,” Hajizadeh noted.
“Our plan was to attack 400 US targets if they responded,” he added.
Referring to the successful launch of the first military satellite by IRGC, Hajizadeh also said, “Developed countries have suffered many defeats along the way, but we succeeded in the first step.”
“The Islamic Republic of Iran has developed these capabilities in recent years and with the help of Almighty God we will take the next steps quickly,” he said emphasizing solid-fuel launchers are equipped with the latest technology in the world.
“Today, gaining access to space and using it is not a choice. It is an inevitable necessity and we must find our place in space,” he added.
“We have great achievements in the field of missiles and defense in the world, and today we have successfully entered the space arena. I have to say that the obstacles have been removed from our path and from now on we will move faster,” the IRGC commander underscored.
He also noted that such successes are reminiscent of relentless efforts and brilliant achievements have taken by martyrs such as Hassan Tehran Moghadam and other martyrs.
The IRGC elite force has successfully launched the Noor-1 Satellite by the domestically-built launcher Qassed [messenger] on Wednesday morning and placed it into the orbit at an altitude of 425km. The launch of Noor-1 which is the Islamic Republic’s first military satellite was carried out on the 41st anniversary of the foundation of the IRGC.
إنّ التهديدات التي كان يعيشها العالم، قبل انتشار وباء كورونا، وبغض النظر عن طبيعتها، قد اختلفت تماماً بعد ظهور هذا الوباء القاتل والخطير جداً، على البشرية جمعاء وليس على شعب بعينه.
وعليه فإنّ منطلقات الدفاع الأوروأطلسية، التي أقيم على اساسها حلف شمال الأطلسي (الناتو) قد انقلبت رأساً على عقب، لا بل انتفى وجودها من الأساس. فمن المعلوم ان أمين عام حلف شمال الأطلسي كان قد لخص مهمات الحلف بالكلمات التالية:
To keep Russia out , Americans in , German down.
أي:
*إبعاد روسيا.
*تمكين أميركا.
*قمع ألمانيا.
لكن الظروف التي كانت سائدة آنذاك قد انتهت تماماً، بعد تفكك الاتحاد السوفياتي وكتلة الدول الاشتراكية وضعف قدراتها العسكرية بشكل عام، وتمدد حلف شمال الأطلسي شرقاً، وضمّه جميع الدول التي كانت أعضاء في حلف وارسو للدول الاشتراكية الى عضويته، ووصول قوات الناتو الى حدود جمهورية روسيا الشمالية الغربية، بحيث أصبحت مدينة لينينغراد الروسية في مرمى مدفعية قوات الحلف الأطلسي، وذلك على عكس الضمانات التي أعطيت لآخر رئيس للاتحاد السوفياتي، ميخائيل غورباتشوف، عند توقيع اتفاقية سحب القوات السوفياتية من المانيا ودول أوروبا الشرقية.
هذا وقد اختفى التهديد السوفياتي المزعوم، من قبل الناتو والولايات المتحدة وأذنابها الأوروبيين، مما جعل الناتو، بقيادة واشنطن، يبدأ بالبحث عن أعداء جدد، ومنذ بداية تسعينيات القرن الماضي، لتبرير وجود هذا الحلف العدواني، الذي هدّد السلم العالمي منذ نشأته. وقد ترجمت هذه السياسة العدوانية، الأميركية الأطلسية، في خطوات الحلف التالية:
الحرب العدوانية، التي شنتها قوات الحلف والجيش الأميركي، ضد العراق سنة 1991.
حروب البلقان، التي هندستها وموّلتها وسلمت لاعبيها، بهدف تفكيك جمهورية يوغوسلافيا، صديقة العرب والقضية الفلسطينية، وتدمير قدراتها العسكرية، وذلك عبر حرب بدأتها سنة 1992 واستمرت حتى 1996.
الحرب الشاملة، التي شنتها الولايات المتحدة وقوات حلف شمال الأطلسي، ضد جمهورية صربيا، اليوغوسلافية السابقة، سنة 1999، والتي أدت الى تدمير شبه كامل للبنى التحتية الصربية واقتطاع إقليم كوسوفو وفصله عن الدولة الصربية، بحجة أن أغلبية سكانه من القومية الألبانية.
الحرب الأميركية الاطلسية ضد العراق سنة 2003 واحتلاله وتدمير الدولة العراقية بالكامل اضافة الى تدمير البنى التحتية المدنية والتي لا زالت تعاني من آثار تلك الجريمة حتى يومنا هذا.
5 ـ الحرب على ليبيا، سنة 2011 والمستمرة حتى اليوم، والتي دمّرت ليس فقط الدولة الليبية وإنما كل بناها التحتية وجميع مقومات الحياة في هذا البلد العربي المنكوب.
كما لا بد من الإشارة باللون الأحمر الى الحرب العدوانية على الشعب اليمني والتي بدأها محمد بن سلمان سنة 2015 بدعم أميركي أوروبي غربي وإسرائيلي مباشر.
وما ان استنفدت مبررات وجود هذا الحلف من جديد، مع بداية الألفية الثالثة، حتى تفتق عقل المخططين الاستراتيجيين الأميركيين والأوروبيين عن اختراع عدو جديد، يمتد وجوده المزعوم على امتداد العالم، اطلق عليه اسم: الارهاب.
فكان أن شنت واشنطن، بالتعاون مع الحلف ودول أخرى، إثر هجمات 11 أيلول 2001 في نيويورك، حربها على افغانستان إبتداءً من شهر 10/2001، والتي لا زالت مستمرة حتى اليوم. ثم تبع ذلك خلق وتفقيس تنظيمات إرهابية أميركية، تحت مسمّيات مختلفة، ونشرها في دول عربية عدة، مستخدمة إياها للأسباب المذكورة ذاتها أعلاه. حيث قام تنظيم داعش بالاستيلاء على أجزاء واسعة من سورية والعراق وأعلن ما اسماه «دولة الخلافة الاسلامية» سنة 2014، كمقدمة لتفكيك الدولة السورية والعراقية.
وقد سارعت واشنطن آنذاك لتشكيل «تحالف دوليّ»، بحجة محاربة الإرهاب، زجّت به من جديد بقوات حلف شمال الأطلسي، في مسرحية عسكرية، هدفت الى تمديد عمر حلف شمال الأطلسي الافتراضي، الذي كان قد انتهى بزوال الاتحاد السوفياتي. ذلك التحالف الذي لم يكن له أي دور يذكر، في محاربة وجود التنظيمات الإرهابية، مثل داعش والقاعدة، وإنما اقتصرت محاربة هذه التنظيمات على الجيش العربي السوري، مدعوماً بقوات إيرانية وأُخرى من حزب الله اللبناني، الى جانب قوى المقاومة العراقيّة ومن ثم الجيش وقوات الحشد الشعبي العراقي، التي تشكلت إثر اجتياح الإرهاب الأميركي الأسود لمناطق واسعة من سورية والعراق، سنة 2014.
هذا الصمود، الذي كان لإيران دور أساسيّ وفاعل في تحقيقه، والذي أدّى الى شعور القيادة الروسيّة بخطر الإرهاب، واحتمال تمدّده الى داخل الأراضي الروسية، من خلال مقاتلين من دول الاتحاد السوفياتي السابق في آسيا الوسطى، مما جعلها، وانطلاقاً من أهداف استراتيجية دولية، الى التدخل العسكري المباشر، في شهر أيلول 2015، لدعم الدولة السورية ومنع إسقاطها، من قبل الولايات المتحدة وحلفائها الغربيين (دول الناتو).
وهو الأمر الذي أدى الى فشل حلف الناتو وسيّد البيت الأبيض في المهمة، ما يعني إفراغ هذا الحلف من محتواه مجدداً، وطرح السؤال الحاسم حول جدوى استمرار وجوده ومبررات ذلك الوجود. علماً ان الإجابة على هذا السؤال أصبحت اكثر الحاحاً، بعد اجتياح وباء كورونا معظم دول العالم وتسببه في موت وإصابة الملايين من البشر، على امتداد العالم.
من هنا، وفي ظل استحالة تمكّن أي دولة بمفردها من مواجهة هذا الوباء، وغيره من الأوبئة المحتملة في المستقبل، وفي ظل العجز المرعب والنقص المخيف في التجهيزات الطبية اللازمة، الذي أظهرته الولايات المتحدة والدول الأوروبية جميعها، في مواجهة هذا البلاد الذي حل بالعالم، وبالنظر الى التداعيات الاقتصادية والاجتماعية والسياسية الكارثية، التي ستنجم عن انتشار هذا الوباء، فإننا نرى ان من الضرورة بمكان ان نؤكد على النقاط التالية، كمخرج آمن وحيد من الأزمة الحاليّة وأي ازمات مستقبلية:
أولاً: الحل الفوريّ لحلف شمال الأطلسي، بفروعه السياسية والعسكرية والتنظيمية وغير ذلك، وإنهاء وتصفية وجوده بشكل نهائي ودائم، وتوجيه الأموال التي تنفق على الحلف حالياً، الى مجالات الاستثمار في البنى التحتية والنشاطات الاقتصادية الإنتاجية في دول الحلف نفسها.
ثانياً: في ظل الهدر المتزايد لثروات الكرة الأرضية واستغلالها بشكل مجحف، من قبل القوى الرأسمالية الليبرالية المتوحشة جنياً لمزيد من الأرباح وتركيزاً للثروة العالمية في أيدي بضع عائلات فقط، فقد اصبح من الملح جداً، على جميع دول العالم، أن تتداعى للبحث في آليات جديدة تكون ناظمة للعلاقات الدولية، عوضاً عن سياسات التهديد العسكري المباشر والعقوبات المالية والاقتصادية، التي تمارسها الولايات المتحدة والدول الغربية، ضد العديد من دول العالم من إيران، الى جمهورية الصين الشعبية وروسيا الاتحادية، وصولاً الى خلق قاعدةٍ دولية للتعاون الاقتصادي الدولي المتوازن والمستند الى خطط علمية دقيقة، عوضاً عن سياسات النهب الشامل لثروات الارض، من قبل قوى خفية تفتقر الى وجود أية روادع أخلاقية او إنسانية وتحكمها الأنانية المطلقة، التي لا تتوانى عن شنّ الحروب وتدمير الدول وقتل شعوبها، حفاظاً على المصالح الذاتية لهذه القوى.
ثالثاً: من هنا فإن الحل الشامل والناجع، لمشاكل البشرية بشكل عام، لا يكمن في مواصلة سياسة اللعب بالنار، التي تمارسها الولايات المتحدة ودول الناتو الأخرى، على حدود روسيا الشمالية الغربية (لينينغراد)، ولا في مواصلة التحرّشات العسكرية، التي تنفذها البحرية الأميركية، في بحر الصين الجنوبي والشرقي، وفي غرب المحيط الهادئ، ومحاولات اختلاق «عدو جديد» للولايات المتحدة وحلف الناتو، الذي تواصل واشنطن استخدامه، في تنفيذ عمليات ألعاب نارية، هنا وهناك، مرة ضد إيران وأخرى في مواصلة توجيه التهديدات للصين الشعبية والعمل على دق إسفين بين روسيا والصين، من خلال إغراء روسيا بمعاملة تفضيلية، إذا ما ابتعدت عن الصين الشعبية وأوقفت التعاون معها، وإنما الحل لا يمكن إلا في التعاون الدولي، لمواجهة التحدي المشترك، المتمثل في وباء كورونا وغيره من الأوبئة.
رابعاً: ولعل أقرب الطرق للوصول الى تصور مشترك وخطة عمل مشتركة لمواجهة تحديات المستقبل، على الصعيد الكوني، هو العودة الى اقتراح الرئيس الروسي، فلاديمير بوتين، الداعي الى عقد اجتماع طارئ لرؤساء الدول الدائمة العضوية في مجلس الأمن، لتدارس إمكانيات إيجاد آليات لمواجهة التحديات المستقبلية التي تواجه البشرية جمعاء. ذلك الاقتراح او المبادرة، التي أطلقها الرئيس الروسي بتاريخ 27/1/2020، في مناسبة الذكرى الـ75 لتحرير قوات الجيش الأحمر السوفياتي لمعسكر الاعتقال في بلدة أوشفيتس، الواقعة جنوب غرب بولندا، بتاريخ 27/1/1945.
وهذا يعني، من الناحية الواقعية وانطلاقاً من المبدأ السياسي، الذي أسسة المستشار الألماني السابق ڤيللي براندت بداية سبعينيات القرن الماضي، ويطلق علية اسم « رِيالْ بوليتيك Realpolitik « –، وتعني السياسة الواقعية، والتي أسست لبدء سياسة الانفتاح الألماني على دول المعسكر السوفياتي بشكل عام وجمهورية المانيا الديموقراطية (الشرقية) آنذاك بشكل خاص، نقول إن هذا يعني:
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إن على الولايات المتحدة، خاصة في ظل انتشار وباء كورونا، العدو المشترك لكل دول العالم، أن تتخلى عن سياسة المواجهة والعدوان العسكري والعقوبات المالية والاقتصادية، وتجلس الى طاولة المفاوضات وتجترح، بالتعاون مع الدول العظمى الأخرى، خريطة حلول دبلوماسية سياسية للمشكلات الدولية، الأمر الذي سيساعد واشنطن على البدء بعلاج جنودها المصابين بفيروس كورونا وسحب قواتها، من قواعدها العسكرية التي يزيد عددها عن ألف قاعدة منتشرة في العالم، وتصفية هذا الوجود العسكري المكلف وباستثمار الأموال المهدورة في استثمارات داخل الولايات المتحدة او في المشروع الصيني العملاق: طريق واحد… حزام واحد. خاصة أن التاريخ يُعَلِّم أن سبب انهيار الإمبراطوريات الرئيسي هو إنفاقها على حضورها العسكري الواسع في العالم والذي يفوق إمكانيات الإمبراطورية المالية والاقتصادية.
ولا بد من الإضافة، الى كل ما تقدم، بأن جمهورية الصين الشعبية وروسيا الاتحادية ليستا جمهوريتي موز، او ممالك رملية، كمملكة محمد بن سلمان في السعودية، كي تتمكن واشنطن من ابتزازهما بالتهديدات المستمرة، بإصدار قوانين عقابية ضد الصين، تشبة قانون جاستا الخاص بتعويض « أقرباء ضحايا « 11/ أيلول 2001. فالدولتان قادرتان، ليس على مقاومة الضغوطات الأميركية فحسب، وانما على إلحاق هزيمة عسكرية نكراء، بالولايات المتحدة الأميركية، في حال تجرأت على ارتكاب أي خطأ عسكري تجاه أي من الدولتين.
اما حديث ترامب، عن نيته تدمير الزوارق الايرانية، اذا ما «تحرشت» بسفن البحرية الأميركية في الخليج، وحديث وزير خارجيته، مايك بومبيو، عن ضرورة معاقبة إيران على إطلاق الحرس الثوري قمراً صناعياً بنجاح، فلا تنم لا عن سياسة واقعية ولا عقلانية وانما تؤشر الى استمرار السياسة الأميركية العدوانية والعنجهية، التي لن ينتج عنها سوى انهيار الإمبراطورية الأميركية من الداخل، بسبب المشكلات الداخلية، وتفكك الولايات المتحدة وتحولها الى الولايات المتقاتلة بدلاً من المتحدة.
وهي نهاية حتمية لسياسة اعتباطية ومعادية لأصول المنطق والعلم والمنهج والتخطيط الإيجابي الخلاق.
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